Last season saw Hawthorn defeat Collingwood 15.5 to 12.15, Collingwoods accuracy in front of goal was costly and who can remember the controversy of Sam Mitchell taking the ball over the line out of bounds but it wasnt called and they went on to kick the sealer.
The pies have won for of its past five games against the hawks with a avg of 17 goals kicked a game.
Heath Shaw is avg 25 touches of the sherrin in his 5 gigs at the MCG this year, a great sign.
The danger man is Sam Mitchell who avg 29 disposals and 8 clearances in the last 4 games against Collingwood.
Rocca could be a late withdrawl if it rains but even still i think the Pies can get up by 2 goals.